self-custody adoption is fragmenting medium-term allocation

A clean chart can hide a crowded trade.

The healthier setup is alignment: self-custody adoption improving while developer activity stays orderly.

Put beside current chatter on “US Bitcoin ETFs Lose $201M as BlackRock Withdrawals Extend the Slump,” the incentive problem looks clearer.

The edge is often just refusing to confuse volume with conviction.

The healthier setup is alignment: user retention improving while stablecoin velocity stays orderly.

If user retention deteriorates while stablecoin velocity looks fine, the tape often turns defensive first.

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